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XRP Rally Pauses; Will It Break $3.30 or Test $3.00 Support?

Munene Timothy by Munene Timothy
January 22, 2025
in Market News, Price Analysis
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XRP Rally Pauses; Will It Break $3.30 or Test $3.00 Support
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  • XRP consolidates between $3.00-$3.30 after a 44.42% monthly surge, with Bollinger Bands tightening, signaling an imminent breakout.
  • MACD shows bearish momentum, with a negative histogram at -0.0063, indicating downside risk if buying pressure weakens.
  • SEC’s closed meeting fuels speculation on XRP’s regulatory fate, as market sentiment hinges on potential legal clarity for Ripple.

XRP remains in focus as speculations intensify about its potential role as a U.S. reserve asset in 2025. Despite ongoing legal pulls with the SEC, Ripple has strengthened its position through acquisitions and international growth. As of January 22, at press time, XRP was trading at $3.17, a 3.06% rise in 24 hours and a 44.42% gain over the past month.

🚨NEW: The @SECGov will hold its first closed meeting since @MarkUyedaUS took over as acting chair on Thursday.

On the agenda: pic.twitter.com/WMDHzWQIeY

— Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) January 21, 2025

Price Trends and Resistance Levels

XRP has had substantial recovery this month, rallying to a high of $3.40 before stabilizing within the $3.00 to $3.30 range. This phase of reduced volatility is indicated by lower highs and higher lows, indicating a potential breakout. 

Source: TradingView

Resistance at $3.30 remains a critical level, with support near $3.00. The upper Bollinger band at $3.30 shows the immediate resistance, while the middle band at $3.15 provides support. 

The lower band at $2.99 is an important level, suggesting potential downside if breached. Contraction in the bands indicates decreased volatility, emphasizing the likelihood of an imminent breakout.

MACD Mixed Signals

The MACD shows mixed signals. The MACD line at 0.0178 remains below the signal line at 0.0242 indicating bearish momentum. Furthermore, the histogram’s negative value of -0.0063 shows caution, indicating bearish momentum and the possibility of further downside in the near term.

Volume trends support a neutral outlook. With 8.78 million XRP traded recently, sustained high volume may drive the price past key resistance. A drop in volume could expose XRP to further consolidation or downside risk toward $2.85.

Market Outlook and External Factors

XRP’s price action coincides with a closed meeting by the SEC on January 23. The meeting is the first since Mark Uyeda was appointed acting Chair, replacing Gary Gensler. Ripple’s ongoing case with the SEC, particularly regarding the programmatic sales of XRP, remains a focal point. 

Ripple CLO Stuart Alderoty emphasized the challenges of regulatory uncertainty, aligning with broader discussions about the SEC’s impact on crypto innovation. Fox Business journalist Eleanor Terrett also indicated the importance of this meeting for the crypto market.

The market anticipates clarity from regulatory discussions as this could affect XRP’s price patterns leading to an uptick or price dip. Monitoring price movements near $3.30 and $3.00 will be essential to predict the next price move.

Tags: Price AnalysisRipple (XRP) News

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