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Bitcoin’s Bull Market Isn’t Changing Anytime Soon: Bitwise CIO

Jonathan Carls by Jonathan Carls
December 19, 2024
in Market, News
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Bitcoin’s Bull Market Isn’t Changing Anytime Soon Bitwise CIO
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  • Bitcoin’s dip highlights resilience as internal adoption trends sustain bullish momentum.
  • Fed’s rate decision sparks short-term volatility, but Bitcoin’s fundamentals stay strong.
  • Leverage magnifies Bitcoin’s drop, yet technical indicators confirm bullish alignment.

Bitcoin’s recent dip has investors nervous, but Bitwise CIO says this is just a temporary pullback. Despite the drastic price correction that followed the Federal Reserve’s latest announcement, the bullish trend beneath Bitcoin is holding strong.

When Bitcoin plummets from around $106k to below $99k, it suffers a momentary loss. Yet this shift is considered a short-term correction rather than a change in market trend at a broader level. While the assets drop, the key drivers behind Bitcoin’s growth are still in play, which suggests the current dip probably won’t derail Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

4/ Bitcoin fell more, tumbling from ~$106k this morning to below $99k, although it's since recovered a bit. The impact is clear from the chart below. pic.twitter.com/yojcapUK8X

— Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) December 19, 2024

Fed’s Decision and Its Ripple Effect

The Federal Reserve announced a 25-basis-point rate cut, aligning with expectations. However, it surprised markets by scaling back its 2024 rate-cut projections from four to two. 

Higher rates generally dampen the appeal of risk assets, leading to a notable sell-off in equities. The S&P 500 shed 3%, while the Russell 2000 index fell 4.4%. Bitcoin, being a high-risk asset, faced a compounded sell-off exacerbated by market leverage.

Leveraged Liquidations Amplify the Impact

Leverage in the crypto market magnified Bitcoin’s drop. The sharp price movement triggered liquidations of $600 million in leveraged long positions. This cascade of stop-outs accelerated the decline, illustrating the double-edged nature of leverage in volatile markets. However, Bitcoin’s quick partial recovery underlines its resilience amid external shocks.

Why This May Be a Temporary Hiccup

Though the Fed still has considerable influence over traditional financial markets, its impact on crypto is diminishing. Whereas Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto ecosystem are driven by internal factors (such as adoption trends or technological advancements), it’s just a matter of time until this sentiment trickles down to the markets. 

Key trends reinforcing the bullish narrative include rising institutional inflows, pro-crypto policy shifts in Washington, and growing Bitcoin reserves held by governments and corporations. These elements highlight a long-term growth trajectory for Bitcoin, independent of monetary policy.

6/ So, is this a hiccup or a reversal? My guess it it’s a hiccup.

The Fed is less relevant to crypto than it has been in the past. Crypto now has internal momentum, and nothing about today’s announcement interrupts the mega-trends:

1) The pro-crypto reversal in Washington…

— Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) December 19, 2024

Bitcoin’s technical indicators offer optimism. Its 10-day exponential moving average, hovering around $102,000, remains above the 20-day average of $99,000. Historically, this alignment signals bullish momentum. Additionally, Bitcoin’s multi-year bull market, fueled by institutional adoption and innovative blockchain developments, remains a dominant force.

Tags: Bitcoin (BTC) News

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